Home Values Don’t Move in a Straight Line, And That’s Okay

Burlington, VT • May 18, 2026

Concerns of Burlington Buyers in Spring

Every spring, we encounter a familiar concern from prospective buyers: “What if I buy and prices drop?” This is a valid question.

No one wants to feel they made a purchase at the wrong time, especially with headlines fluctuating between “housing crash,” “record prices,” and “high interest rates.”

However, there is a broader truth that many overlook:

Real Estate Does Not Move in a Straight Line

In some years, home values increase rapidly. In others, they may stabilize or even decline. This is entirely normal.

What truly matters is not what transpires over the next 12 months. Instead, focus on what occurs over the next 5, 7, or 10 years of your life.

Historically, real estate has seen far more positive years than negative ones. Even after downturns, markets typically recover over time. The buyers who succeed are not necessarily those who can perfectly time the market; rather, they are those who create a well-thought-out long-term strategy.

Rethinking the Common Buyer Question

Many individuals ask, “Is this the perfect time to buy?” A more insightful question would be, “Will buying support my life over the next several years?”

Purchasing a home is not solely a short-term financial decision.

It involves creating stability, building equity over time, having control over your housing payment, and providing future options for you and your family.

If your plan is robust, short-term market fluctuations are far less significant than many believe.

Opportunities in Slower Markets

Interestingly, slower or flatter markets can offer opportunities that buyers often miss during competitive times.

In more balanced markets, buyers may find themselves with more flexibility to negotiate prices, request seller credits, explore rate buydowns, and take their time in making decisions. They can approach buying with a long-term strategy rather than out of panic.

This does not imply that every home is a wise purchase. It suggests that perfectly timing the market is usually less crucial than selecting the right home with a solid plan.

Your Timeline is Key

This is the most critical aspect to consider.

If you intend to own a home for several years, your long-term strategy will outweigh whether home values fluctuate slightly up or down in the coming year.

At NEO Home Loans, our role is not to claim we can predict the future. Our responsibility is to assist you in developing a mortgage strategy that remains effective, even if the market faces challenges.

The best homebuying decisions are typically based on your goals, your budget, your timeline, and your future plans, rather than on the latest headlines.

Considering a Purchase?

If you are contemplating whether now is the right time for you, let us discuss your options and create a plan that aligns with your timeline, rather than the current news cycle.

The “perfect time” seldom feels ideal in the moment. However, a well-structured long-term plan can still lead to a positive outcome.

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